Monday, December 24, 2007

Predictions 2008


If it is Christmas then it is time for the cfs predictions. Here is my crystal ball, and this time things are looking good. We are going for the gold this time around!

First legal disclaimer.

The following predictions are part of cfs' political satire and as always they are written using a Sardonic Style. I have posted my predictions on internet web sites for the past five years during the Christmas season. Some of my previous predictions were totally off the mark, but, I expect to have a good year with the 2008 predictions. My predictions are based on metaphysics, extrapolation, and the award-winning cfs proprietary guessing indicators. I will post a review by midyear, after the elections, and prior to the end of the year. This time we are going for the gold with prediction number ten, the 2008 cfs trifecta.

And now the 2008 cfs predictions.

1. THE WAR PRESIDENT. The war president will continue to drive the opposition crazy with his veto pen. He will continue to act like the macho cowboy to show the Democratic Party leadership that he is not your typical lame duck president and that he remains the decider. He will take credit for all the progress made in Iraq, and he will tell his fellow Americans that this time the mission is really accomplished, and that we have won the war against the islamofascist warriors in Iraq. His approval rating will be up by the end of the year; however, a large number of historians will make the Sunday morning television rounds labeling his administration as Nixonian and Jimmy Carteresque, in other words, a failed president.

2. MIDDLE EAST PEACE. Situation normal all fouled up. As directed by the war president, our failed Secretary of State will continue to travel around the Middle East with the purpose of buying hearts and minds. She will continue to fail. Due to the presidential elections in the United States, the majority of Americans will place the Middle East Peace in the back burner. No significant progress made in 2008. The Middle East Peace Initiative will be a turnover item for the next administration.

3. AMERICAN TROOPS IN IRAQ. The number of American fatalities will drop to less than 10 per month, with the majority of fatalities not combat related. Significant progress made across the board in Iraq, but Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid will continue to insist that the war in Iraq is lost. The war president will out-flank his opposition, and will embarrass the Do-Nothing Democratic Congress by giving a de facto VI DAY (Victory in Iraq) proclamation prior to the general election. The war president will implement an accelerated withdrawal plan for American troops out of the country, but not as fast as demanded by the Do-Nothing Democratic Congress. Less than 130,000 troops in Iraq by the end of July. Less than 120,000 troops in Iraq before Election Day. Less than 110,000 troops in Iraq by the end of the year. Total troops withdrawal will be a turnover item for the next administration.

4. AMERICAN TROOPS IN AFGHANISTAN. The fighting will go on and our troops will receive the green light to openly chase and bag islamofascist warriors deep inside Pakistani territory. Several al Qaeda key personnel will be placed at room temperature and the whole al Qaeda organization will be constantly on the run for cover. Significant progress made by midsummer, but there will be no VA DAY (Victory in Afghanistan) proclamation by part of the war president. The Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid will again embarrass himself and his party by declaring that the war in Afghanistan is lost. The war in Afghanistan will be a turnover item for the next administration.

5. THE US ECONOMY AND THE US MARKET. Americans will remain bullish on the American Economy. Things will be looking good by midyear, and this will be good news for the Republican Party candidates running for the Senate, the House of Representatives, and the White House. Inflation will remain under control, but oil prices will continue to be an issue. Housing market will make a slow recovery. The US dollar will slowly make a comeback. Dick Cheney will continue to smile all the way to the bank, but he will shift from an all-European bonds portfolio to an all-US bonds portfolio as a sign that the best is yet to come. Americans will feel good emotionally and economically. A slow start in Wall Street, but by the end of the first quarter things will be looking good. We will see a couple of market corrections, including a significant correction during the summer. Irrational exuberance will remain at check, and individual investors will remain optimistic about their globally diversified portfolios. All three US Stock Market Indexes - the Dow, the Nasdaq, and the S&P 500 - will be up, but only by single digits, by the end of the year. Once again the losers will be the market timers.

6. DEMOCRATIC PARTY. The leaders of the party will be pumped-up and motivated during the early days of 2008. They will brag about their 50 states strategy, and their dreams about gaining seats on the Senate, gaining seats on the House of Representatives, and taking over White House. However, they will have a tough time selling their plan to the real independent voters. The Democratic Party leadership will face some embarrassing moments prior to, and during the Democratic Party Convention.

7. REPUBLICAN PARTY. The sex and corruption scandals will continue. The party will be demoralized and rudder-less during the first months of 2008, but during the second quarter the Republican Party leadership will get their stuff together, and the tide will shift to their side. The Republican Party will have a good convention. The Republican Attack Machine (RAM) will exploit the anti Hispanic immigrants sentiment, and will galvanize their religious right voters. The RAM will show the opposition how to play the Voters Suppression game. The Republican Party will go into the presidential election with momentum on their side.

8. DEMOCRATIC PRIMARIES RESULTS. No guts, no air medals. Against all odds we are predicting the Democratic Party nominee here. Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama will make a good showing during the primaries, only to become Silver and Bronze medalists. Playing the gender card backfires on Hillary Clinton, her opponents take no prisoners during the nasty primaries, and she suffers an embarrassing defeat - she was in it to win it, but she lost it. John Edwards becomes the comeback kid and wins the Primaries Gold Medal. John Edwards picks a southern governor as his running mate. The Gold Medalist comes out of the primaries with a lot of money and a lot of endorsements. John Edwards becomes an easy target for the Right Wing Axis (RWA), easy target for the Republican Attack Machine (RAM), and easy target for the Republican Swift Boaters (RSB).

9. REPUBLICAN PRIMARIES RESULTS. No guts, no air medals. Against all odds we are predicting the Republican Party nominee here. After having a good time in 2007, the 911 candidate Rudy Giuliani suffers an embarrassing defeat during the primaries, however, he will continue to make millions of dollars exploiting the 911 events, and becomes the prime candidate for Secretary of Homeland Security. Mitt Romney gains support from the Religious Right after giving his word that the Western White House will not be located at Temple Square in Salt Lake City. The Christian Coalition, Focus on the Family, and the rest of the Morally Superior bunch will pinch their noses and jump on the Mitt Romney's band wagon because the God Talkers want to continue having a direct line with the White House. Mitt Romney wins the nomination and picks a southern governor as his running mate. Mitt Romney comes out of the primaries in good shape and with a lot of M&M (Mormon Money) for the general election.

10. THE 2008 CFS TRIFECTA. No guts, no air medals. Here is my last and most interesting prediction for 2008. We are going for the Gold. Things will be looking good for the Democratic Team at the start of the year. But then things will head south, and once again they will look disorganized, with a lot of finger pointing. The Democratic Party retains control of the US Senate. The Democratic Party retains control of the House of Representatives. The Republican Party retains control of the White House. The Republican Party candidate wins by getting 49.3 percent of the populous vote and 280 electors. A majority of the Democratic Party congress members, upset for losing their 8th of the last 11 presidential elections, will demand that Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid and House Speaker Nancy Pelosi resign or be removed from their respective leadership position. Recap of the 2008 cfs trifecta, (1) The Democratic Party retains the Senate, (2) The Democratic Party retains the House of Representatives, and (3) The Republican Party retains the White House.

Second legal disclaimer.

Thanks for reading the 2008 cfs predictions. Just a reminder, as I have said before, do not bet your home or your retirement money on the cfs predictions. However, you can take the 2008 cfs trifecta to the bank.

45 comments:

cfs said...

Christmas Evening Message

To all my friends and to all those dropping by The Lowest Rated Blog from time to time I say Merry Christmas ... and have a happy and productive 2008. Thanks for all you do for America.

cfs

cfs said...

Christmas Evening Message - addendum

I have friends outside of America, so let me say this: Thanks for all YOU do! Have a Merry Christmas and a productive 2008.

cfs

In_spired said...

Just dropped by to say Merry Christmas. We are still very busy and I don't even have time to read your post right now. I'll be back later. Have a good 'tomorrow'!

Terry said...

Wow. Your predictions seem precise and magical. You couldn't go wrong...

I worry about the economy and the housing market. Its comforting to hear your optimistic predictions. I also hope you are right about Mitt, as I've said so many times before.

Merry Christmas, My Friend.

cfs said...

Inspired

Thanks. Merry Christmas to YOU and your family.

cfs

cfs said...

Terry

Thanks.

Merry Christmas to YOU and your family.

In ref to the 2008 predictions, I did a lot work to come up with those ten predictions, a few weeks of fine tunning. We shall see the outcome by the end of 2008.

cfs

cfs said...

Clairvoyant

NOUN: A person, such as a medium, possessing the supposed power of clairvoyance. No, cfs is NOT claiming to be clairvoyant - but, my grandmother was a practicing clairvoyant, and she was a goog one.

From the Merriam-Webster Dictionary

Main Entry: 1clair·voy·ant
Pronunciation: \-ənt\
Function: adjective
Etymology: French, from clair clear (from Latin clarus) + voyant, present participle of voir to see, from Latin vidēre — more at wit
Date: 1844
1 : having clairvoyance : able to see beyond the range of ordinary perception (claims to be clairvoyant)
2 : of or relating to clairvoyance (clairvoyant powers)
— clair·voy·ant·ly adverb

cfs said...

Day After Christmas

Here I sit alone at home - with my family hitting the stores big time [it is good for the US economy]. Have a productive "day after."

cfs

A Little Revolution said...

We'll see if these turn out better than last years. They seem like plausible predictions right now. We'll see... :)

cfs said...

ALR

Thanks for dropping by and we will see by the end of 2008 - however, I have all my play money going for the cfs trifecta. Happy 2008 !!!

cfs

Terri@SteelMagnolia said...

Hum...
very curious to see what happens...

I hope it's a Mitt/Huck ticket.

I am worried about China and Iran.
Oh heck, I worry about everything.

cfs said...

Terri

Good evening and thanks for your comments. I do NOT see anything on the crystal ball on IRAN and CHINA in 2008, so, no worries. As per my crystal ball Mitt Romney is going to take the GOLD in the Republican side of the house. We shall see by the end of 2008. Have a productive week and a very Happy 2008 !!!

cfs

niki yokota said...

thanks very much cfs-chan!! :)
im worried abt pakistan and mideast peace now..

Tapline said...

cfs, Good predictions....We'll see what materializes....Have a prosperous New Year.....stay well...

cfs said...

Niki

Thanks. Everything is going to be okay in Pakistan. I do not see anything good coming out of the Middle East in 2008. Have a good weekend in Japan and a productive 2008.

cfs

cfs said...

TL

Tapline, thanks for dropping by and SOME of those predictions are going to be right on the money, but not all of them. However, I am betting all my play money on prediction number 10 [regardless of the names of the candidates and regardless of the outcome of predictions numbers 8 and 9]. Have a nice weekend in Maine and a productive 2008.

cfs

cfs said...

Niki

Sad news about your ex Mr Bakshi. Hang in there, you will have an excellent year in 2008, I can see a lot of good things going your way.

cfs

A Little Revolution said...

Hope your right about Pakistan working out OK. I can too easily see it working out to be the opposite. But, I guess that is why we come to you for political prognostications! ;)

niki yokota said...

awww thank you million cfs-chan!!!
im getting over it.

cfs said...

ALR

In ref to Pakistan, every talking head is giving a bad scenario on the country, but not me, in the future things will be okay and USA will be up to the neck involved in Pakistan issues. I do no see that country becoming another Somalia. Already then, have a nice weekend on the East Coast and a productive 2008.

cfs

cfs said...

Niki

Thanks for the visit. Just hang in there. YOU have a nice weekend in Japan, and oh by the way, as I have said before, as per my crystal ball YOU will have an awesome 2008 full of good surprises.

cfs

cfs said...

OBAMA the Democratic nominee?

Okay, cfs is now in competition with no other than Sylvia Browne [from the Montel show]. She is predicting that Obama will be the Democratic nominee, and is also predicting that a Democrat will occupy the White House. Very TUFF competion but cfs will stand by the 2008 cfs predictions, Edwards will be the Democratic nominuee and the Republicans keeping the White House. We shall see!

cfs

A Little Revolution said...

Happy New Year! The baby is sick. So I'm home having a New Year's Eve Blogging Party. Woo Hoo. Terry went to our friends house. She'll just love how I'm spreading it across the whole internet how she left me with the kids to go party New Year's Eve at a friend's house in our state capitol.

It was a pleasure to get to know you this year via the internet!

p.s. It appears you are correct about the Pakistan situation. Things are just going to go on like "normal." Hopefully that means your electoral prognostications are tight and not Sylvia Browne's. Wait! You watch Montel? You need to spend more time online! LOL!

cfs said...

ALR

Happy NY [new year] 2008 [it is 2315 Pacific]. Glad to see that cfs is not the only soul using the internet on the NY eve! Oh by the way, cfs is NOT a Montel fan. And as I have said before, watch the 2008 cfs trifecta [we are going for the gold].

cfs

cfs said...

Congratulations !!!

If you are reading this then let me say CONGRATULATIONS! You made it to 2008 and this will be a great year. Last month was a great December for me and I look forward to a GREAT year. Happy New Year.

cfs

cfs said...

The OBAMA factor

Will Sylvia Browne beat the pants out of cfs on this one? Latest polls show OBAMA leading in Iowa .... Check this article from the Washington Post on 01/01/2008:

The Iowa Poll for the Des Moines Register showed Obama (Ill.) at 32 percent, up from 28 percent in November. Clinton (N.Y.) was at 25 percent and Edwards (N.C.) at 24 percent, virtually unchanged from November. No other Democrat was above 6 percent.

The new poll gave Obama a critical psychological boost at a time when the focus in Iowa had shifted to Edwards, whose fiery anti-corporate rhetoric appeared to be gaining converts. Clinton, too, had appeared to have steadied herself after a series of stumbles in November and early December.

The Register reported that Obama's support has been bolstered by first-time caucusgoers -- a remarkable 72 percent of his supporters in the poll said that this would be their first caucus -- and by strong backing from independents as well as some Republicans.


But I will stand by my gutsy prediction - John Edwards will be the Democratic Party nominee.

cfs

niki yokota said...

Happy New Year!!
rockin' guy blogger? lololol
im looking forward to ur new year post.

cfs said...

Niki

Thanks for dropping by and oh by the way I look forward to your new and improved emotional rescue 2008 blog!
Stay tuned for my new year post. Have a fine JAPAN day.

cfs

In_spired said...

cfs:

How will the candidacy of Bloomberg affect your predictions?( If/when he announces!) Do you think it will make any difference at all? I haven't done any research on him; haven't even looked at his website.

Just wondering...

cfs said...

Inspired

Thanks for the good question!

Imho if he decides to enter as an also ran [read indpendent] candidate he will do serious damage to the GOP nominee and insignificant damage to the DEM nominee.

I see the DEM side very hungry [they are united] for a victory in the presidential election and the GOP voters are all over the map with their field of candidates.

I do NOT see Bloomberg entering the presidential race and I see the GOP retaining the White House .

Have a fine TEXAS day.

cfs

In_spired said...

cfs:

I pray that you are correct on this one!! Not that the Rep candidates are any prize but compared to the Dem??? I say no more....

cfs said...

The 2008 cfs trifecta

Well, for Inspired and everyone I recommend to keep the 2008 cfs trifecta handy. We are going for the gold this year with prediction number 10 the 2008 cfs trifecta. Okay shipmates, have a productive rest of the week and if you are in IOWA then have fun at your CAUCUS!

Oh by the way, I have modified my logo replacing racing greyhound with Old Glory.

cfs

cfs said...

OBAMA - HUCKABEE

The winners of the Iowa Caucuses. So far so good for one of the now infamous cfs Final Four [Huckabee] and a big surprise on the DEM side of the house with OBAMA winning. Good on the caucuses voters for voting for non-dividers.

cfs

cfs said...

DEM beats the GOP on a 2-1 ratio

Bad news for the GOP in Iowa. I just checked the final numbers of those attending the caucuses and the Democratic caucus attracted more than the double of those in attendance. The DEM was able to beat the GOP on a 2 to 1 ratio. The GOP is using the independents as an excuse [a large majority of independents attended the DEM caucus] but this is BAD news anyway because to win the White House both parties will need the independent votes. We shall see if this trend continues [if so, bad news for the GOP]. Have a productive weekend.

cfs

cfs said...

PRIMARIES - SCHEDULE

Now that we are done with IOWA, the game is not over - this is what we have pending prior to Super-Duper Tuesday 02/05/2008 [the game will be over after Super-Duper Tuesday]. Check this out, here is the short range schedule:

01/03/2008 Iowa Democrats and Republicans

01/05/2008 Wyoming Republicans only

01/08/2008 New Hampshire Democrats and Republicans

01/15/2008 Michigan Democrats and Republicans

01/19/2008 Nevada Democrats and Republicans

01/19/2008 South Carolina Republicans only

01/26/2008 South Carolina Democrats only

01/29/2008 Florida Democrats and Republicans

02/02/2008 Maine Republicans only

So, we do have a few more weeks of FUN prior to the FINAL COUNTDOWN.

cfs

cfs said...

I FEEL SORRY ABOUT WYOMING

The state is having the Republican Caucus today but NOBODY cares. And there is a good article from the Deseret Morning News on this link.

http://tinyurl.com/2bog86

Have a productive weekend.

cfs

cfs said...

Wyoming - Mitt is the man

Do YOU care about Wyoming? YOU should. Anyway, we have a winner in the Republican Caucus in Wyoming. Mitt Romney is the winner and now the score is as follows:

Huckabee - 1, Romney=1, Others=0

Very interesting, click on the "Primary Predictions" link on the left side of your screen [in My Oldies But Goodies section].

cfs

cfs said...

OBAMA - here is a good editorial

Good editiorial from the San Diego Republican Tribune [and I say Republican Tribune because this newspaper is owned and operated by a bunch of right wing wackos], but anyway this time they did the right thing - check the link.

http://tinyurl.com/2f63oh

Have a productive weekend!

cfs

cfs said...

GOP and DEM Debates

Well, I was able to watch both on ABC, without falling asleep. The GOP debate became an ALL vs Romney and the DEM debate became an ALL vs Hillary. Looking at both teams I saw the NEW and the OLD guards. Imho McCain and Hillary represents the OLD GUARD and America will be better off by NOT selecting any of the OLD GUARD for president - it is time for all the OLD GUARD to go home - and stay there - however both are well positioned to win in New Hampshire. We shall see.

cfs

cfs said...

PAUL and RICHARDSON

In ref to the debates, these two candidates kept the debates alive: On the GOP side Ron Paul.
On the DEM side Bill Richardson.

cfs

In_spired said...

cfs:

Just checking in to say hello and updating myself on your updates!

I've copied/pasted (and printed) the Primaries Schedule in case I should happen to miss the announcement of one!

Have a good "rest of the day"!

cfs said...

Inspired

Thanks for the comments, and as I have said before the game is not over until it is over - I stand by the 2008 predictions of Edwards vs Romney in November.

However, we have NO idea on WHO will be the nominee on the GOP or DEM side based on what is happening right now with all the INDEPENDENT and UNDECIDED voters out there.

The INDEPENDENT and UNDECIDED voters could be BAD NEWS for all the members of the OLD GUARD.

Have a productive week.

cfs

cfs said...

INTRADE prediction markets

Here is a good link for you to track how the international markets are betting on the candidates. Right Now the leading candidates [to be the nominee in each party] are McCain and Obama.

http://www.intrade.com/

As of this writing this is how things are looking in intrade:

Obama 60.9
Clinton 37.9

McCain 34.0
Giuliani 31.7

But again, this is way too early to do any betting on any of the candidates.

Note on the web site listed above: This is NOT an American site. The intrade web site is an Irish incorporated service business.

cfs

cfs said...

Good site for PRIMARIES information

Here is the link to the National Association of Secretaries of State and and here you can download the file containing the primaries schedule [click on the link to "NASS 2008 Presidential Primary/Caucus Calendar" - a pdf file]:

http://tinyurl.com/28bvye

Plus, on the same site check the "Overview" discussing the plan for primaries and caucuses beginning in 2012.

cfs

cfs said...

NOT LOOKING GOOD FOR ROMNEY AND HILLARY

Hillary and Romney are on the attack. But New Hampshire is not buying it. As per the latest polls candidates McCain and Obama are leading the race in New Hampshire, and not only that, their lead is increasing. Today I saw Hillary interviewed on television morning show [she looks tired] and she continues with her mantra of "I am ready to be your president." It is possible that the voters in New Hampshire are not looking for someone "ready" and are looking for someone bringing "change." And oh by the way, talking about change, Obama is leading Hillary by double digits in some of the polls released this morning. If you are in the Hillary camp then you have a very long 36 hours ahead of you. Forty five percent of the registered voters in New Hampshire are not affiliated with any party [de facto Independents], they are the majority and they will tell us WHO they want to lead the nation tomorrow -- and as of now Romney and Hillary are in trouble in that state [if we are to believe the morning polls].

cfs

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